Dauphiné and Suisse BREAKDOWN: Jumbo-Visma confirmed what they may do on the Dauphiné and the actual motion within the Tour de Suisse is about to kick off. What can we take from these Tour ‘apply’ races? Spencer Martin provides us his ‘BREAKDOWN’ heading in direction of the 2022 Tour de France.
Jumbo Dauphiné domination
Jumbo-Visma dominated on the current Critérium du Dauphiné, getting three stage wins, holding the yellow jersey for seven out of the eight phases, and fully decimating the GC competitors with Primož Roglič and Jonas Vingegaard ending first and second within the general with an enormous hole over third-place Ben O’Connor.
Ben O’Connor may do no extra
Whereas this is a crucial pre-Tour de France win for Roglič, the extraordinarily sturdy efficiency of his teammate Vingegaard within the closing two mountain phases raised questions in my thoughts about his skill to noticeably problem Tadej Pogačar, and even his standing because the workforce’s clear chief, within the coming Tour de France. Finally, we received’t know the reply till the Tour peloton hits the stage 7 ascent of La Planche des Belles Filles, however as a lot as a victory will be solid as a unfavourable, I’m formally involved about Roglič’s prospect for a Tour de France general win.
May Vingegaard be Jumbo’s prime man on the Tour?
In the meantime, throughout the Alps in Switzerland, Remco Evenepoel and Aleksandr Vlasov kicked off an intriguing GC battle whereas Ineos’ veterans Adam Yates and Geraint Thomas took essential first steps in direction of solidifying their Tour management and Peter Sagan hinted that he simply is likely to be as much as battle Wout van Aert for the Inexperienced Jersey on the upcoming Tour de France with a classic dash victory on stage 3.
Is that this the Peter Sagan of outdated?
1) Jumbo-Visma has clearly corrected their points from the Giro d’Italia, and are flying forward of the Tour de France…
- …However the extraordinarily weak subject they confronted on the Dauphiné shouldn’t have them popping the champagne simply but.
- You may solely race the competitors that exhibits up, and Ben O’Connor was 4th eventually yr’s Tour de France, however come July, every little thing will boil right down to a single query: can they beat Tadej Pogačar?
The Slovenian introduced that ‘he’s again’
2) Primož Roglič will get an enormous general, however I’m nonetheless not satisfied he’s ‘again’
- The Slovenian introduced that ‘he’s again’ after using into the race lead on stage 7, however his comparatively flat time trial efficiency on stage 5, and the truth that he seemed considerably outclassed by his teammate Vingegaard on the climbs nonetheless has me questioning if his kind is really as much as a direct problem with Pogačar in only a few weeks’ time.
- For instance, whereas his trip on stage 7 basically received him the race, he ‘solely’ put 14-seconds into O’Connor by the highest of the climb, did not execute his notorious ‘mow down’ transfer on Carlos Verona, and struggled once more on stage 8 to place huge time into O’Connor.
Will or not it’s a Vingegaard/Pogačar Tour battle?
3) Jonas Vingegaard appears unbelievable and much better than he did earlier than his shock 2nd place general trip on the 2021 Tour de France
- With out his slight underperformance within the stage 5 TT that noticed him lose 30-seconds to Roglič, Vingegaard doubtless would have received this race and opened up a messy can of worms for his Jumbo workforce previous to the Tour de France.
- With this in thoughts, they doubtless received’t be too upset that he wasn’t capable of execute higher towards the clock.
- Nevertheless, the truth that he appeared to be respiration by his nostril whereas Roglič attacked on stage 7 and the power of his acceleration that dropped Jack Haig, Damiano Caruso, Tao Geoghegan Hart, and Ben O’Connor, and his skill to drag his teammate to the road on stage 8 will nonetheless plant seeds of doubts in lots of minds about who the stronger rider at Jumbo is previous to the Tour.
Jumbo-Visma had the upper-hand within the Dauphiné
4) The beating Jumbo gave out was anticipated, however nonetheless stunning in its scope
- We knew earlier than the race that they have been the strongest workforce right here and that they might doubtless win the general competitors, however even with this in thoughts, I used to be stunned that no one else was even in the identical time zone.
- Exterior of O’Connor, no one completed inside 2-minutes within the GC, which is considerably stunning in a comparatively quick stage race with solely two actual mountain phases.
Ineos not wanting all dominant like earlier than – Thomas and Yates the Tour spearhead
5) Ineos was significantly poor
- They nonetheless have an opportunity to indicate indicators of life on the Tour de Suisse, however whereas Jumbo duly handed their pre-Tour go/fail take a look at on the Dauphiné, Ineos seemed extra like a workforce who deployed their prime assets to the Giro and have little left for the Tour.
- I used to be keen to present Tao Geoghegan Hart a re-examination as a GC contender after Jai Hindley’s current Giro win retroactively raised the inventory of Geoghegan Hart’s 2020 Giro victory, however he nonetheless seems to be struggling to rediscover the shape he possessed two years in the past and nearly definitely received’t be a viable possibility for the British superteam in July.
Ben O’Connor – Good for a Tour podium, however he will likely be in a struggle with Vingegaard (and a few Slovenians)
6) Ben O’Connor ought to be a significant podium contender at this yr’s Tour de France
- The Australian rider completed a shock 4th place on the 2021 Tour de France after gaining an enormous chunk of time in an early breakaway. Whereas this gave the impression to be a excessive water mark attributable to how troublesome it’s to copy outcomes generated from breakaways, he seems to be again and higher in 2022 and needs to be thought of a contender for the Tour podium.
- Highlighting his stage is that in two summit finishes, he misplaced solely 29-seconds in actual (non-time-bonus time) to Roglič.
Kruijswijk – Again on the Jumbo-Visma Tour roster after his work within the Dauphiné
7) Steven Kruijswijk may need ridden his approach again into Jumbo’s Tour de France workforce
- Kruijswijk, who had struggled in recent times and gave the impression to be over the hill at 35-years-old, seemed unbelievable at this Dauphiné and served as a beneficial climbing domestique for Roglič over the ultimate weekend.
- After Van Aert, Vingegaard and Roglič take up three of the workforce’s eight complete slots, this efficiency will likely be key to permitting him to be included within the remaining 5 rider slots that will likely be contested between himself Sepp Kuss, Rohan Dennis, Mike Teunissen, Robert Gesink, Tiesj Benoot, Nathan van Hooydonck, and Christophe Laporte.
Remco Evenepoel – About to launch the tiger in Suisse?
What to Watch on the Tour de Suisse
8) Remco’s return to excessive mountain GC racing
- Whereas he has received 4 stage races plus the climb-heavy Liège-Bastogne-Liège since dropping out of the 2021 Giro d’Italia after struggling within the race’s excessive mountain phases, none of been contested on significantly lengthy and troublesome alpine climbs and he appeared to wrestle on the current Itzulia Basque Nation when ramps have been steep and sustained.
- This coming week, which options two significantly troublesome summit finishes, will likely be an enormous take a look at for the 22-year-old and provides us a touch as as to whether he’ll be capable to transition right into a full-fledged three-week stage racer.
Dani Martínez – Not a frontrunner for Ineos on the Tour
9) Ineos’ Tour de France GC auditions
- Regardless of arriving with uber-talented semi-youngster Dani Martínez, the veterans Adam Yates and Geraint Thomas are the one two Ineos riders inside a minute of the race’s GC lead.
- Whereas we nonetheless have lots left at this race, this doubtless tells us that the workforce’s GC focus on the Tour will likely be solely between Yates and Thomas.
Sagan searching for inexperienced?
10) Peter Sagan tuning up for a possible run on the Tour’s Inexperienced Jersey
- After veterans like Jakob Fuglsang and Alberto Bettiol discovered themselves outdone by unknowns within the first two phases (Stephen Williams and Andreas Leknessund), Peter Sagan reminded us all that he’s nonetheless a contender for Tour de France stage wins when he took stage 3 in a tough bunch dash end.
- This efficiency from a Sagan who has clearly been rejuvenated by his time overseas coaching in high-altitude Park Metropolis, Utah, additionally opens the chance that we may get an intriguing battle between him and Wout van Aert for the Level’s Jersey on the upcoming Tour de France.
- On its face, this may appear a considerably absurd thought since Sagan has struggled to seek out aggressive kind in recent times whereas Van Aert received each sort of Tour de France stage out there in 2021 and is likely one of the most proficient riders ever to race on the highway. However the truth that Van Aert may even have to separate his Inexperienced Jersey ambitions between his day job as a domestique for Primož Roglič and Jonas Vingegaard whereas Sagan solely has to give attention to successful phases and racking up factors, may even the tables simply sufficient to present Sagan an opportunity.
Inexperienced jersey for Wout van Aert
# Spencer Martin is the creator of the cycling-analysis publication Past the Peloton that breaks down the nuances of every race and solutions massive image questions surrounding workforce and rider efficiency. Enroll now to get full entry to all of the out there content material and race breakdowns. #